Or you can listen to U.S. Lt. Col. Alex Vershinin retired after 20 years of service, including eight years as an armor officer with four combat tours in Iraq and Afghanistan and 12 years working as a modeling and simulations officer in NATO and U.S. Army concept development and experimentation. This included a tour with the U.S. Army Sustainment Battle Lab, where he led the experimentation scenario team.
Do elaborate on what it is you’re confused by. Russian strategy has been destruction of Ukrainian army through attrition. Being a much bigger country with a big industrial base, this is the most sensible strategy for Russia.
Russia spent around 9 months making sophisticated layered defences over the past year while massively expanding the army. Ukraine was then forced to use human wave tactics to attack these defences by their western partners to try and show visible territory gains for continued support. This offensive failed miserably resulting in the loss of large portions of the equipment the west managed to cobble together, as well as trained and experienced soldiers. Russia actually ended up gaining more ground during this offensive than Ukraine did.
Now, Ukraine is out of weapons and manpower, and Russia is starting an offensive of their own having recruited over 300k new troops who have been trained and equipped during this time.
On the other hand, western powers are now admitting that they’re not able to keep up with the rate of use ammunition, and Ukraine is now actively drafting women in to the military. Furthermore, many western economies are going into a recession, while Russian economy is showing growth and increase in military production.
On top of all that, we’re now seeing the war in Palestine unfold which necessarily means that Ukraine will get even less support from the west.
Seems to me that this is precisely what U.S. Lt. Col. Alex Vershinin predicted would happen in his article that’s linked above.
Russia has more manpower but at the expense of pulling out troops from another theatre, which in turn would diminish Russian influence there, that’s already the case with Central Asia and Armenia and Azerbaijan. Russian businesses is already short-staffed. Even if Russian wins, it is will be a Pyrrhic victory. Future generations of Russians will pay for the financial and human costs. Russia could even be beholden to China, who is keeping Kremlin afloat right now.
Russian strategy has been destruction of Ukrainian army through attrition.
Their strategy was a lightning fast toppling of the government within a week with little to no resistance, such as they saw in Crimea.
Russia is also facing dire manpower issues. With too much drafting from Moscow, Putin’s power is in danger. In fact, Ukraine is betting on these manpower shortages to attrit down to the point where the line becomes untenable. See here:
https://youtu.be/lebWSl49R0chttps://youtu.be/CqmQPev1Gvg
Gasa is certainly an issue, but with higher artillery production, linked bills, and diverted media attention, it has upsides for Ukraine too. https://youtu.be/tg7aw3T3nzg
Russia getting stomped by a much smaller and normally less well equipped army.
huh? https://english.elpais.com/international/2023-10-29/russia-halts-ukrainian-offensive-and-goes-on-the-attack.html
If you listen to Russian cope, I’m sure this was all part of their glorious plan.
Or you can listen to U.S. Lt. Col. Alex Vershinin retired after 20 years of service, including eight years as an armor officer with four combat tours in Iraq and Afghanistan and 12 years working as a modeling and simulations officer in NATO and U.S. Army concept development and experimentation. This included a tour with the U.S. Army Sustainment Battle Lab, where he led the experimentation scenario team.
https://www.russiamatters.org/analysis/whats-ahead-war-ukraine
Or any number of other very qualified analysts.
https://youtube.com/@Gametheory101 https://youtube.com/@PerunAU https://youtube.com/@RFU https://youtube.com/@CovertCabal
Anybody with a functioning brain can look back at what happened over the past year and a half and figure out which analysts actually have a clue.
Exactly. That’s why I’m so confused why you think everything is going as Russia intended.
Do elaborate on what it is you’re confused by. Russian strategy has been destruction of Ukrainian army through attrition. Being a much bigger country with a big industrial base, this is the most sensible strategy for Russia.
Russia spent around 9 months making sophisticated layered defences over the past year while massively expanding the army. Ukraine was then forced to use human wave tactics to attack these defences by their western partners to try and show visible territory gains for continued support. This offensive failed miserably resulting in the loss of large portions of the equipment the west managed to cobble together, as well as trained and experienced soldiers. Russia actually ended up gaining more ground during this offensive than Ukraine did.
Now, Ukraine is out of weapons and manpower, and Russia is starting an offensive of their own having recruited over 300k new troops who have been trained and equipped during this time.
On the other hand, western powers are now admitting that they’re not able to keep up with the rate of use ammunition, and Ukraine is now actively drafting women in to the military. Furthermore, many western economies are going into a recession, while Russian economy is showing growth and increase in military production.
On top of all that, we’re now seeing the war in Palestine unfold which necessarily means that Ukraine will get even less support from the west.
Seems to me that this is precisely what U.S. Lt. Col. Alex Vershinin predicted would happen in his article that’s linked above.
Russia has more manpower but at the expense of pulling out troops from another theatre, which in turn would diminish Russian influence there, that’s already the case with Central Asia and Armenia and Azerbaijan. Russian businesses is already short-staffed. Even if Russian wins, it is will be a Pyrrhic victory. Future generations of Russians will pay for the financial and human costs. Russia could even be beholden to China, who is keeping Kremlin afloat right now.
Their strategy was a lightning fast toppling of the government within a week with little to no resistance, such as they saw in Crimea.
Russia is also facing dire manpower issues. With too much drafting from Moscow, Putin’s power is in danger. In fact, Ukraine is betting on these manpower shortages to attrit down to the point where the line becomes untenable. See here: https://youtu.be/lebWSl49R0c https://youtu.be/CqmQPev1Gvg
Gasa is certainly an issue, but with higher artillery production, linked bills, and diverted media attention, it has upsides for Ukraine too. https://youtu.be/tg7aw3T3nzg