but an order of magnitude smaller

I’m pretty sure that would be three orders of magnitude.

Most people’s ELOs don’t shift much after settling into your “natural” rank, which should happen after about 50 matches or so.

Ehm, 50 matches seems like a lot to me. Especially if they aren’t enjoyable (yet) because of flawed matchmaking.

the forecasted severity of those risks in the future

I understand that as changes in risk severity due to the climate catastrophe. Climate used to be kinda stable (at least over a human life time).

The service isn’t. The fact that it is needed/useful is.